The Inversion Problem: Why Algorithms Should Infer Mental State and Not Just Predict Behavior
“The Inversion Problem: Why Algorithms Should Infer Mental State and Not Just Predict Behavior,” with Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, and Manish Raghavan. Perspectives on Psychological Science, December 2023.
An algorithmic approach to reducing unexplained pain disparities in underserved populations
“An algorithmic approach to reducing unexplained pain disparities in underserved populations,” with Emma Pierson, David M. Cutler, Jure Leskovec and Ziad Obermeyer, in Nature Medicine volume 27, pages 136–140 (2021)
Quantifying the Causal Effects of Conversational Tendencies
“Quantifying the Causal Effects of Conversational Tendencies,” with Justine Zhang and Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil, Proceedings of ACM CSCW, 2020.
Allocation of COVID-19 Relief Funding to Disproportionately Black Counties
“Allocation of COVID-19 Relief Funding to Disproportionately Black Counties”, with Pragya Kakani, Amitabh Chandra and Ziad Obermeyer. Journal of American Medical Association, August 2020.
Algorithms as discrimination detectors
“Algorithms as discrimination detectors.” with Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, and Cass R. Sunstein. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences July 28 (2020).
An Economic Perspective on Algorithmic Fairness
“An Economic Perspective on Algorithmic Fairness“. with Ashesh Rambachan, Jon Kleinberg and Jens Ludwig, in AEA Papers and Proceedings (Vol. 110, pp. 91-95). [nonrefereed]
Scarcity and Cognitive Function around Payday
“Scarcity and Cognitive Function around Payday: A Conceptual and Empirical Analysis,” with Anandi Mani, Eldar Shafir, and Jiaying Zhao, Journal of the Association for Consumer Research, 2020
Dissecting Racial Bias in an Algorithm Used to Manage the Health of Populations
“Dissecting Racial Bias in an Algorithm Used to Manage the Health of Populations,” with Ziad Obermeyer, Brian Powers, and Christine Vogeli, Science, 366(6464), pp.447-453, 2019.
Direct Uncertainty Prediction for Medical Second Opinions
“Direct Uncertainty Prediction for Medical Second Opinions,” with Maithra Raghu, Katy Blumer, Jon Kleinberg, Rory Sayres, Ziad Obermeyer, and Robert Kleinberg, International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2019.
Discriminative Regularization for Generative Models
“Discriminative Regularization for Latent Variable Models with Applications to Electrocardiography,” with Andrew Miller, Ziad Obermeyer and John Cunningham, International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2019.
Discrimination in the Age of Algorithms
“Discrimination in the Age of Algorithms,” joint with Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, and Cass Sunstein, Journal of Legal Studies, 2018.
An exercise in self-replication: Replicating Shah, Mullainathan, and Shafir (2012)
“An exercise in self-replication: Replicating Shah, Mullainathan, and Shafir (2012),” with Anuj Shah and Eldar Shafir, Journal of Economic Psychology (2018)
A Comparison of Patient History- and EKG-based Cardiac Risk Scores
“A Comparison of Patient History- and EKG-based Cardiac Risk Scores,” joint with Andrew C. Miller and Ziad Obermeyer, Proceedings of the AMIA Summit on Clinical Research Informatics (CRI), 2019
Debt Traps? Market Vendors and Moneylender Debt in India and the Philippines
“Debt Traps? Market Vendors and Moneylender Debt in India and the Philippines,” with Dean Karlan and Benjamin N. Roth (2018), forthcoming American Economic Review: Insights. (Also National Bureau of Economic Research working paper 24272).
Predictive Modeling of US Healthcare Spending in Late Life
“Predictive Modeling of US Healthcare Spending in Late Life,” with Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein and Ziad Obermeyer (2018), Science 29 Jun 2018: Vol. 360, Issue 6396, pp. 1462-1465. DOI: 10.1126/science.aar5045
Algorithmic Fairness
“Algorithmic Fairness,” joint with Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig and Ashesh Rambachan (2018), AEA Papers and Proceedings (Vol. 108, pp. 22-27). (Non refereed).
Money in the Mental Lives of the Poor
“Money in the Mental Lives of the Poor,” with Anuj Shah, Jiaying Zhao and Eldar Shafir (2018). Social Cognition, 36(1), 4-19.
Human Decisions and Machine Predictions
“Human Decisions and Machine Predictions,” with Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec and Jens Ludwig, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 133.1 (2018): 237-293. (also: NBER Working Papers 23180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.)
Individual differences in normal body temperature: longitudinal big data analysis of patient records
“Individual differences in normal body temperature: longitudinal big data analysis of patient records,” with Obermeyer, Ziad, and Jasmeet K. Samra (2017), British Medical Journal 359
The Selective Labels Problem: Evaluating Algorithmic Predictions in the Presence of Unobservables
“The Selective Labels Problem: Evaluating Algorithmic Predictions in the Presence of Unobservables,” with Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec and Jens Ludwig (2017), Proceedings of the 23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining.
Comparison-Based Choices
“Comparison-Based Choices,” with Jon Kleinberg and Johan Ugander (2017) Proceedings of the 17th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC).
Does Machine Learning Automate Moral Hazard and Error?
“Does Machine Learning Automate Moral Hazard and Error?” with Ziad Obermeyer (2017), American Economic Review, May 207, 107 (5): 476-80. (Non-refereed)
Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach
“Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach,” with Jann Spiess (2017), Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2017, 31 (2): 87-106.
Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scores
“Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scores,” with Jon Kleinberg and Manish Raghavan (2017). Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Innovations in Theoretical Computer Science (ITCS).
Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago
“Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago”, with Heller, S. B., Shah, A. K., Guryan, J., Ludwig, J., and Pollack, H. A. (2015). (Formerly National Bureau of Economic Research No. 21178) Quarterly Journal of Economics, February 2017, 132 (1): 1-54
Assessing Human Error Against a Benchmark of Perfection
“Assessing Human Error Against a Benchmark of Perfection,” with Ashton Anderson and Jon Kleinberg, Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining 2016.
The Psychological Lives of the Poor
“The Psychological Lives of the Poor,” with Frank Schilbach and Heather Schofield, American Economic Review. May 2016, 106 (5): 124-127. (Non-refereed)
Productivity and Selection of Human Capital with Machine Learning
“Productivity and Selection of Human Capital with Machine Learning,” with Aaron Chalfin, Oren Danieli, Andrew Hillis, Zubin Jelveh, Michael Luca, and Jens Ludwig, American Economic Review. May 2016, 106 (5): 435-440. (Non refereed)
Getting to the Top of Mind: How Reminders Increase Saving
“Getting to the Top of Mind: How Reminders Increase Saving,” with Dean Karlan, Margaret McConnell, & Jonathan Zinman, Management Science. December 2016, 62 (12): 3393 – 3411
Self-Control at Work: Evidence from a Field Experiment
“Self-Control at Work: Evidence from a Field Experiment,” with Supreet Kaur & Michael Kremer, Journal of Political Economy, 2016, 123 (6), 1227-1277
Behavioral Hazard in Health Insurance
“Behavioral Hazard in Health Insurance,” with Katherine Baicker & Joshua Schwartzstein, 2015, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2015, 130(4), 1623-1667
Prediction Policy Problems
“Prediction Policy Problems,” with Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig and Ziad Obermeyer, American Economic Review (May), 2015. (Non-refereed)
Scarcity Frames Value
“Scarcity Frames Value,” with Anuj Shah and Eldar Shafir, Psychological Science. April 2015, 26 (4): 402-412.
Learning through Noticing
“Learning through Noticing,” with Rema Hanna & Joshua Schwartzstein, The Quarterly Journal of Economics 129.3 (2014): 1311-1353.
Externalities, Internalities, and the Targeting of Energy Policy
“Externalities, Internalities, and the Targeting of Energy Policy,” with Hunt Allcott and Dmitry Taubinsky, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 112 (April) 2014, pages 72-88.
Behavioral Design: A New Approach to Development Policy
“Behavioral Design: A New Approach to Development Policy,” with Saugato Datta, Review of Income and Wealth 60.1 (2014): 7-35.
Poverty Impedes Cognitive Function
“Poverty Impedes Cognitive Function,” with Anandi Mani, Eldar Shafir, and Jiaying Zhao, Science, August 30 2013, 341(6149): 976-980.
Targeting with Agents
“Targeting with Agents,” with Paul Niehaus, Antonia Atanassova, & Marianne Bertrand, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 5 (1), 2013, pp. 206-38
Notes on behavioral economics and labor market policy
“Notes on behavioral economics and labor market policy,” with Linda Babcock, William Congdon and Lawrence Katz, IZA Journal of Labor Policy 1, no. 1 (2012): 1-14.
Health Insurance Coverage and Take‐Up: Lessons from Behavioral Economics
“Health Insurance Coverage and Take‐Up: Lessons from Behavioral Economics,” with Baicker, Katherine and William J. Congdon. Milbank Quarterly 90.1 (2012): 107-134.
Some Consequences of Having too Little
“Some Consequences of Having too Little,” with Anuj K. Shah & Eldar Shafir, Science, November 2 2012, 338 (6107): 682-685.
A Reduced Form Approach to Behavioral Public Finance
“A Reduced Form Approach to Behavioral Public Finance” with Joshua Schwartzstein & William J. Congdon, Annual Review of Economics, 2012.
Comparison Friction: Experimental Evidence from Medicare Drug Plans
“Comparison Friction: Experimental Evidence from Medicare Drug Plans,” with Jeffrey Kling, Eldar Shafir, Lee Vermeulen, & Marian V. Wrobel. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127:1 (February 2012), 199-235.
Mechanism Experiments and Policy Evaluations
“Mechanism Experiments and Policy Evaluations,” with Jens Ludwig & Jeffrey R. Kling, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25:3 (Summer 2011), 17-38.
Helping Consumers Know Themselves
“Helping Consumers Know Themselves,” with Emir Kamenica & Richard Thaler, American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 2011, 101(3), 417-22. (Non-refereed)
Rigidity in Microfinancing: Can One Size Fit All?
“Rigidity in Microfinancing: Can One Size Fit All?” with Dean Karlan, QFinance (June 2010).
Self Control and the Development of Work Arrangements
“Self Control and the Development of Work Arrangements,” with Supreet Kaur & Michael Kremer, American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, May 2010, 100, 624-628. (Non-refereed)
Behavior and Energy Policy
“Behavior and Energy Policy,” with Hunt Allcott, Science 5 March 2010: 1204-1205.
Affirmative Action in Education: Evidence from Engineering College Admissions in India
“Affirmative Action in Education: Evidence from Engineering College Admissions in India,” with Marianne Bertrand & Rema Hanna, Journal of Public Economics, 94 (1-2), 2010: 16-29.
What’s Advertising Content Worth? Evidence from a Consumer Credit Marketing Field Experiment
“What’s Advertising Content Worth? Evidence from a Consumer Credit Marketing Field Experiment,” with Marianne Bertrand, Dean Karlan, Eldar Shafir, & Jonathan Zinman, 2010. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 125, No. 1: 263–305.
Behavioral Economics and Tax Policy
“Behavioral Economics and Tax Policy,” with William J. Congdon & Jeffrey R. Kling, National Tax Journal, 62:3 (September 2009), 375-386.
Sticking With Your Vote: Cognitive Dissonance and Political Attitudes
“Sticking With Your Vote: Cognitive Dissonance and Political Attitudes,” with Ebonya Washington, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(1), 2009:86-111.
Labor Market Discrimination in Dehli: Evidence from a Field Experiment
“Labor Market Discrimination in Dehli: Evidence from a Field Experiment,” with Abhijit Banerjee, Marianne Bertrand, & Saugato Datta, Journal of Comparative Economics, 37( 1), 2009:14-27.
Limited Attention and Income Distribution
“Limited Attention and Income Distribution,” with Abhijit V. Banerjee, American Economic Review, 98( 2), 2008:489-93.
Why Don’t People Insure Late-Life Consumption? A Framing Explanation of the Under- Annuitization Puzzle
“Why Don’t People Insure Late-Life Consumption? A Framing Explanation of the Under- Annuitization Puzzle,” with Jeffrey Robert Brown, Jeffrey R. Kling, & Marion V. Wrobel, American Economic Review, 98 (2), 2008: 304-09.
Coarse Thinking and Persuasion
“Coarse Thinking and Persuasion,” with Joshua Schwartztein & Andrei Shleifer, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123( 2) 2008: 577-619.
Obtaining a Driver’s License in India: An Experimental Approach to Studying Corruption
“Obtaining a Driver’s License in India: An Experimental Approach to Studying Corruption,” with Marianne Bertrand, Simeon Djankov, & Rema Hanna, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 22(4), 2007: 1639-1676.
Development Economics Through the Lens of Psychology
“Development Economics Through the Lens of Psychology,” Proceedings of the Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics, 2006. (Non-Refereed)
Behavioral Economics and Marketing in Aid of Decision-Making among the Poor
“Behavioral Economics and Marketing in Aid of Decision-Making among the Poor,” with Marianne Bertrand, & Eldar Shafir, 2006, Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, 25, 1, 8-23.
Implicit Discrimination
“Implicit Discrimination,” with Marianne Bertrand & Dolly Chugh, American Economics Review, 95(2), 2005:94-98.
The Market for News
“The Market for News,” with Andrei Shleifer, American Economic Review, 95(4), 2005: 1031-1053.
Do Cigarette Taxes Make Smokers Happier?
“Do Cigarette Taxes Make Smokers Happier?” with Jonathan Gruber, The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, 5(1), 2005.
Psychology, Behavioral Economics, and Public Policy
“Psychology, Behavioral Economics, and Public Policy,” with On Amir, Dan Ariely, Alan Cooke, David Dunning, Nicholas Epley, Botond Koszegi, Donald Lichtenstein, Nina Mazar, Drazen Prelec, Eldar Shafir, & Jose Silva, 2005, Marketing Letters, 16 (3-4), p. 443-454. (Non-refereed)
A Behavioral Economics View of Poverty
“A Behavioral Economics View of Poverty,” with Marianne Bertrand, & Eldar Shafir, 2004, American Economic Review, 94, 2, 419-423.
Are Emily and Greg More Employable than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination
“Are Emily and Greg More Employable than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination,” with Marianne Bertrand, American Economic Review, 94( 4), September 2004: 991-1013.
How Much Should We Trust Difference-in-Difference Estimates?
“How Much Should We Trust Difference-in-Difference Estimates?” with Marianne Bertrand & Esther Duflo, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(1), 2004: 249-275.
Pyramids
“Pyramids,” with Marianne Bertrand, Journal of the European Economic Association, 1(2-3), April/May 2003: 478-83. (Non-refereed)
Enjoying the Quiet Life? Corporate Governance and Managerial Preferences
“Enjoying the Quiet Life? Corporate Governance and Managerial Preferences,” with Marianne Bertrand, Journal of Political Economy, 111(5), October 2003: 1043-1075.
Public Policy and Extended Families: Evidence from South Africa
“Public Policy and Extended Families: Evidence from South Africa,” with Marianne Bertrand & Douglas Miller, World Bank Economic Review, 17(1), 2003: 27-50.
A Memory-Based Model of Bounded Rationality
“A Memory-Based Model of Bounded Rationality”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(3), August 2002: 735-774.
Ferreting Out Tunneling: An Application to Indian Business Groups
“Ferreting Out Tunneling: An Application to Indian Business Groups,” with Marianne Bertrand & Paras Mehta, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(1), February 2002: 121-48.
Behavioral Economics
“Behavioral Economics,” with Richard Thaler, International Encyclopedia of Social Sciences, Pergamon Press, 1st edition, October 1, 2001: 1094-1100. (Non-refereed)
Are CEOs Rewarded for Luck? The Ones Without Principals Are
“Are CEOs Rewarded for Luck? The Ones Without Principals Are,” with Marianne Bertrand, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(3), August 2001: 901-32. (Longer version available as “Do CEOs Set Their Own Pay? The Ones Without Principals Do,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper #7604).
Do Firm Boundaries Matter?
“Do Firm Boundaries Matter?” with David Scharfstein, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 91(2), May 2001: 195-199. (Non-refereed)
Do People Mean What They Say? Implications for Subjective Survey Data
“Do People Mean What They Say? Implications for Subjective Survey Data,” with Marianne Bertrand. Shorter version: American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 91(2), May 2001: 67-72. (Non-refereed)
Network Effects and Welfare Cultures
“Network Effects and Welfare Cultures,” with Marianne Bertrand & Erzo F.P. Luttmer, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115( 3), August 2000: 1019-1055.
Agents With and Without Principals
“Agents With and Without Principals,” with Marianne Bertrand, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 90(2), May 2000: 203-208.
Is there Discretion in Wage Setting?
“Is there Discretion in Wage Setting?” with Marianne Bertrand, Rand Journal of Economics, 30(3), Autumn 1999: 535-554.
Resource Bounds and Combinations of Consensus Objects
“Resource Bounds and Combinations of Consensus Objects,” with Jon M. Kleinberg, Proceedings of the 12th Annual ACM Symposium on Principles of Distributed Computing, ACM Press, 1993.